Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 13

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Referee: Falov V. (Rus)


	Tyumen		KAMAZ

	1	X	2
	2.54	2.97	3.32
	2.41	3.06	3.09	Watch
	2.36	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.24)	3.01 ↓ (3.3)	3.1 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
38.5%

Draw
31.2%

KAMAZ
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

KAMAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Tyumen - KAMAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 11. Karpov D. 20. Kenfak O. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 10. Savinov A. 30. Shavlokhov D. 41. Sukhoruchenko M.	16. Kuptsov I. (G) 14. Abdullaev S. 4. Abramov A. 22. Gorelov P. 23. Gyurdzhan A. 9. Karaev D. 2. Khubaev D. (C) 6. Kozlov I. 81. Melnikov N. 13. Pochivalin V. 18. Tananeev D.
Substitutes
2. Kalugin N. 17. Kosarev K. 33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 9. Kuptsov D. 70. Maryanov A. 90. Mokaev I. 13. Petrov M. 27. Petukhov I. 5. Poroykov S. 8. Talalay D. 36. Voropaev A.	11. Apekov R. 69. Asylov I. 7. Ayukin R. 53. Deryugin A. 75. Grashchenkov R. (G) 17. Lauk M. 24. Platon A. 77. Platon N. 8. Starodub D. 76. Sukhanov A. 10. Zashchepkin R.
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Akhmetzyanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Korotaev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sukhoruchenko M. ↓, Poroykov S. ↑,
46', Kulishev A. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
62', Gyurdzhan A. ↓, Sukhanov A. ↑,
62', Abramov A. ↓, Apekov R. ↑,
71', Karpov D. ↓, Kuptsov D. ↑,
73', Poroykov S. 🟨,
73', Abdullaev S. ↓, Starodub D. ↑,
73', Karaev D. ↓, Lauk M. ↑,
73', Savinov A. ↓, Talalay D. ↑,
85', Melnikov N. 🟨,
86', Khubaev D. ↓, Platon N. ↑,
88', Talalay D. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Apekov R. (Pen),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 3.

Tyumen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches KAMAZ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently KAMAZ have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
29.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.24	Chelyabinsk - Tyumen	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Tyumen - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
09.09.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL
- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
29.09.24	KAMAZ - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.24	KAMAZ - Torpedo Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	KAMAZ - Ural	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - KAMAZ	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
20.05.24	Tyumen - KAMAZ	2:0
13.08.23	KAMAZ - Tyumen	2:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
16.04.21	KAMAZ - Tyumen	3:0
08.10.20	Tyumen - KAMAZ	1:0
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
16.07.19	Tyumen - KAMAZ	3:2
Russian FNL
25.11.15	KAMAZ - Tyumen	0:1
03.08.15	Tyumen - KAMAZ	1:0

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