Match Info

FNL - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: KAMAZ Stadium (Naberezhnye Chelny)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)


	KAMAZ		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.07	4.74
	1.9	3.01	4.73	Watch
	2.02	2.89	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	2.99 ↓ (3.24)	4.53 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAMAZ
47.9%

Draw
31.4%

Shinnik
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

30.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAMAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

KAMAZ - Shinnik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Anisimov A. (G) 3. Marugin D. 21. Yudintsev G. 18. Tananeev D. 7. Ayukin R. (C) 11. Apekov R. 2. Khubaev D. 53. Deryugin A. 28. Sultonov M. 59. Motorin D. N. 9. Karaev D.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 5. Malyarov K. 53. Kotin N. 44. Kornyushin D. 2. Kosogorov A. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 8. Kul R. 62. Karpov V. 64. Lanin O. 50. Golubev A. 77. Gongapshev A.
Substitutes
14. Abdullaev S. 15. Burko M. 8. Dolgopolov E. 19. Golybin R. 6. Kalistratov T. 27. Manuylov R. 5. Ratnikov S. 79. Semenov V. 24. Shamkin D. 22. Solodukhin A. 30. Zamerets E. (G) 10. Zashchepkin R.	27. Chernyi A. 61. Malakhov A. 20. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 6. Rukas A. 92. Shchelkunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Akhmetzyanov I.	Buloychik A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Kul R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Karaev D. ↓, Shamkin D. ↑,
63', Kul R. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
71', Apekov R. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
71', Sultonov M. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
73', Samoilov D. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
81', Kornyushin D. 🟨,
85', Khubaev D. 🟨,
85', Golubev A. 🟨,
87', Kotin N. 🟨,
90+1', Yudintsev G. ↓, Manuylov R. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 3.

Recent performances by KAMAZ have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shinnik is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, KAMAZ is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, KAMAZ won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KAMAZ won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Shinnik - the odds 4.02 are the expected chance of winning is 23.75%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
14.09.25	Rotor - KAMAZ	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	KAMAZ - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
03.09.25	Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	KAMAZ - Ufa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWTW
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
14.09.25	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.03.25	Shinnik - KAMAZ	1:0
29.09.24	KAMAZ - Shinnik	3:0
18.11.23	Shinnik - KAMAZ	2:2
14.10.23	KAMAZ - Shinnik	4:0
12.05.23	KAMAZ - Shinnik	1:0
23.10.22	Shinnik - KAMAZ	1:0
Russian FNL Cup
27.02.20	KAMAZ - Shinnik	Shinnik Yaroslavl awarded

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