Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 23

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Ecuavisa, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Independiente del Valle		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.50	8.50	Watch
	1.26	5.00	8.50
	1.32	4.90	9.00	Watch
	1.29	5.65	10.69
	1.29	5.41	9.48	Watch
	1.27	5.55	9.55
	1.30	5.54	8.56	Watch
	1.25	5.20	9.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 (1.28)	5.34 ↑ (5.17)	9.19 ↓ (10.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
72.5%

Draw
17.4%

Deportivo Cuenca
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.8%

18%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 5. Schunke R. 19. Loor L. 6. Alcivar J. 17. Rodriguez A. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 28. Quintana H. 31. Pata E. 50. Angulo J.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. 23. Guevara E. 28. Boolsen P. 18. Piedra M. 37. Arboleda C. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 30. Maccari M. 8. Vega E. 49. Gonzalez D. 19. Diaz M.
Substitutes
16. Briones R. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 20. Gomez A. 55. Guagua D. 32. Mendez J. 70. Peralta M. (G) 11. Perello M. 56. Quintero E. 99. Reasco D. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A.	53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 3. Nardelli G. 5. Noboa D. 43. Ordonez J. 11. Rivero G. 15. Solis Jaramillo M. A.
Coaches
Papa J.	Neculman D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Angulo J. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
64', Mancinelli L. ↓, Erique Villigua Y. H. ↑,
67', Angulo J. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
67', Pata E. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
77', Maccari M. 🟨,
78', Quintana H. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
78', Sornoza J. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
78', Diaz M. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
83', Lopez A. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
86', Boolsen P. 🟥,
87', Rodriguez A. ↓, Quintero E. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

Ind del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 4.

Ind del Valle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Deportivo Cuenca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:17. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2:0.6).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente del Valle - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 72.82%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Orense - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
22.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Emelec	6:1 ✺
16.07.26	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Leones del Norte - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:3
27.07.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	0:3
05.04.25	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	4:0
Club Friendly
31.01.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	1:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.10.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	0:2
05.05.24	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0
28.10.23	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0

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