The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 41%
Draw 33.2%
Ferrocarril Midland 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
30.4%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
30.8%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brown de Adrogué's performance.
Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrocarril Midland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brown de Adrogué that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrocarril Midland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brown de Adrogué - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 6. Pieres M. 3. Guerrero B. 8. Gonzalez L. 5. Minnicelli A. 7. Canete J. 10. Sproat M. (C) 4. Vivas G. 9. Meaurio N. 11. Lovazzano L.
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Meza F. 6. Cataldi F. 3. Monzon S. 8. Frattini M. 5. Violini N. 10. Campana A. I. 11. Molina F. 7. Rogoski M. 9. Olivera E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Campana A. I. ⚽,
21', Meza F. 🟨,
32', Monzon S. 🟨,
42', Cataldi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Monzon S. ⚽,
60', Frattini M. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
60', Molina F. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Meaurio N. ⚽,
64', Lovazzano L. ↓, Enrique F. ↑,
71', Gomez G. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
72', Campana A. I. ↓, Cucinotta M. ↑,
73', Gonzalez L. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
81', Monzon S. ↓, Ferrari N. ↑,
81', Minnicelli A. ↓, Castano A. ↑,
90+2', Guerrero B. 🟨,
Preview
In recent matches, Brown de Adrogué has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ferrocarril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Brown de Adrogué could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brown de Adrogué won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Brown de Adrogué - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.64%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Ferrocarril Midland - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.94%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Watch
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Giovini S. (G) 
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