Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	UCAM Murcia B		Unión Molinense

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.78	2.78
	8.61	4.52	1.35	Watch
	2.62	2.79	2.68
	2.34	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.34)	3.29 ↑ (3.05)	2.43 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia B
25.7%

Draw
31.6%

Unión Molinense
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCAM Murcia B's form might have worsened.

Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Molinense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCAM Murcia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Molinense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', 🟥,
90+8', 🟥,
90+10', 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Molinense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Molinense has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.11.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - UCAM Murcia B	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Santomera	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	UCAM Murcia B - Cieza	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Bala Azul - UCAM Murcia B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTLT
- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.11.25	Unión Molinense - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	El Palmar - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Unión Molinense - Deportivo Marítimo	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Unión Molinense - Muleño	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Unión Molinense - Santomera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.25	UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense	2:2
22.09.24	Unión Molinense - UCAM Murcia B	2:0
03.03.24	Unión Molinense - UCAM Murcia B	0:1
15.10.23	UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense	1:0
02.04.23	Unión Molinense - UCAM Murcia B	1:0
04.12.22	UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense	0:1

UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide