Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	UD Logroñés		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.62	Watch
	2.95	2.75	2.75
	3.05	2.65	2.8	Watch
	2.95	2.65	2.7
	3.21	2.74	2.85
	2.8	2.75	2.88	Watch
	2.94	2.88	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.75)	2.75 ↓ (2.84)	2.77 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
31.6%

Draw
34.3%

Cartagena
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

33.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

23.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

UD Logroñés - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Logroñés will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Logroñés has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Cartagena has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Logroñés is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.21	UD Logroñés - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Mirandés - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	UD Logroñés - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
30.03.21	Ponferradina - UD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
27.03.21	UD Logroñés - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWWTT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.21	Cartagena - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Sabadell - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
05.04.21	Cartagena - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
01.04.21	Zaragoza - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
27.03.21	Cartagena - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.11.20	Cartagena - UD Logroñés	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.09.18	Cartagena - UD Logroñés	1:2 penalties

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