The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almería 39.4%
Draw 30.4%
Espanyol 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
31.1%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
32.1%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.5%
56.9%
21.5%
Almería - Espanyol Predictions
Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 14 - 21.5%). Espanyol will win (votes: 14 - 21.5%). It will Tie (votes: 37 - 56.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.9% – 68.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 13).
Almería has the most likely position - 17 (12.42%), has project points - 41, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Espanyol has the most likely position - 16 (10.36%), has project points - 44, has currently - 20, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality61, importance35, match rating48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 0.
Recent matches Almería is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Espanyol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Espanyol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Almería will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Espanyol: Bare K.
(Ankle Injury)
Gori
(Injury)
Pedrosa A.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Almería: Kaiky
(Injury)
There are questionable in Espanyol: Simo
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.
Africa
Australia
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Greece
Poland
Portugal
Serbia
Slovenia
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