Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	UD Logroñés		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	5.75	3	1.7	Watch
	6	3.25	1.67
	5.75	3.1	1.75	Watch
	5.4	3.1	1.75
	6.05	3.25	1.79
				Watch
	6.1	3.08	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↓ (5.91)	3.13 ↓ (3.21)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
16.1%

Draw
30%

Espanyol
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

29.2%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

23.2%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espanyol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	7.1%	67.9%

UD Logroñés - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Logroñés will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Espanyol will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga).

Logroñés has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Espanyol has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a good chance of promoted (89%), has a good chance of win league (52%).

Logroñés is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Espanyol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Espanyol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Espanyol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
10.12.20	Girona - UD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
05.12.20	Rayo Vallecano - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
02.12.20	UD Logroñés - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
29.11.20	Mallorca - UD Logroñés	4:0 ✺
26.11.20	UD Logroñés - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLLW
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
06.12.20	Espanyol - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
02.12.20	Cartagena - Espanyol	1:3 ✺
29.11.20	Espanyol - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
26.11.20	Leganés - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
20.11.20	Espanyol - Girona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

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