Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	UD Logroñés		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.05	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.12
	8.11	4.08	1.42	Watch
	3.44	3.14	2.18	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.49)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	2.06 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
23.1%

Draw
29.5%

Ponferradina
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27.2%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

26%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

UD Logroñés - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Logroñés will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Logroñés: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Logroñés (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Logroñés (votes: 1 - 50%). Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daza A. (G) 22. Pascual A. 2. Val J. 26. Larrea E. 16. Saenz I. 29. Rezola M. 8. Mari Sanchez M. 28. Issman L. 20. Morales A. 10. Txoperena U. 7. Lhery Y.	13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 2. Andujar D. 3. Novoa G. 15. Sousa V. 5. Undabarrena E. 16. Frimpong E. 14. Fernandez X. 17. Keita A. 7. Sergio Benito 11. Mula A.
Substitutes
6. Andoni Ugarte 21. Benitez C. 11. Febas J. 13. Konate T. (G) 19. Otadui I. 17. Santana I. 31. Villamor A.	30. Baeza B. 25. Barredo P. (G) 9. Cortes J. 20. Ferrer P. 26. Kysil V. 12. Lian 19. Lopez A. 4. Moltenis B. 10. Valle B. 18. Vazquez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Fernandez X. ⚽,
24', Mula A. 🟨,
39', Frimpong E. 🟨,
44', Mari Sanchez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Fernandez X. 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Keita A. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Morales A. ⚽,
58', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
60', Frimpong E. ↓, Kysil V. ↑,
60', Keita A. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
60', Fernandez X. ↓, Valle B. ↑,
65', Jorrin M. 🟨,
67', Sergio Benito ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
68', Issman L. 🟨,
70', Lhery Y. ↓, Otadui I. ↑,
70', Txoperena U. ↓, Febas J. ↑,
70', Jorrin M. ↓, Moltenis B. ↑,
77', Morales A. 🟨,
80', Morales A. ↓, Santana I. ↑,
80', Issman L. ↓, Benitez C. ↑,
83', Saenz I. 🟨,
90+1', Mari Sanchez M. ↓, Hugo J. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Valle B. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Logroñés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Logroñés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.10.25	UD Logroñés - Tudelano	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	UD Logroñés - Beasain	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Mutilvera - UD Logroñés	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.25	Mérida AD - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ponferradina - Real Madrid Castilla	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Osasuna B - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.21	Ponferradina - UD Logroñés	2:2
02.12.20	UD Logroñés - Ponferradina	1:2
Club Friendly
06.08.14	UD Logroñés - Ponferradina	0:1

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