The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UD Logroñés 17.7%
Draw 29.8%
Mallorca 52.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
32%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.6%
25.5%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mallorca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.9%
4.7%
82.4%
UD Logroñés - Mallorca Predictions
Users Predictions:
Mallorca will win
(70 of 85 users predict this - 82.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.25% – 90.45%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga).
Logroñés has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mallorca has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a good chance of promoted (86%), has a chance of win league (39%).
Logroñés is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Mallorca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Mallorca is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.