Match Info

LaLiga - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	17:00	Idman TV
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	15:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	18:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	ART Sport 2
Laos	20:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	07:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
Mozambique	15:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	14:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Philippines	21:00	beIN Connect
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	15:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Spain	14:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Thailand	20:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	16:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	13:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Rayo Vallecano		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.92	3.25	4.45	Watch
	1.91	3.22	4.68	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.5
	1.94	3.26	4.83	Watch
	1.9	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.8)	3.19 ↓ (3.38)	4.7 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
49.8%

Draw
29.9%

Mallorca
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

28.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

27.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.4%	42.9%	10.7%

Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Mallorca will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1 - Mallorca (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Mallorca (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 32. Mendy N. 3. Chavarria P. 4. Diaz P. 23. Valentin O. (C) 19. de Frutos J. 7. Palazon I. 18. Garcia A. 14. Martin C.	1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. (C) 4. Kumbulla M. 22. Mojica J. 5. Mascarell O. 12. Samu Costa 6. Sanchez A. 17. Virgili J. 3. Lato T. 7. Muriqi V.
Substitutes
9. Alemao 20. Balliu I. 10. Camello S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 15. Gumbau G. 40. Molina A. (G) 11. Nteka R. 22. Pacha 21. Perez F. 8. Trejo O. 33. Vertrouwd J.	11. Asano T. 13. Bergstrom L. (G) 10. Darder S. 18. Joseph M. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 2. Morey Bauza M. 9. Prats A. 26. Salhi I. 20. Torre P.
Coaches
Perez I.	Arrasate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, de Frutos J. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
15', Mojica J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽, Lato T. (A),
38', Ratiu A. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
40', Valjent M. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Palazon I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', de Frutos J. 🟨,
58', Lato T. 🟨,
59', Lato T. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
61', Maffeo P. 🟨,
69', Diaz P. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
69', de Frutos J. ↓, Pacha ↑,
70', Sanchez A. ↓, Darder S. ↑,
70', Mascarell O. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
79', Martin C. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
80', Valentin O. 🟥,
80', Garcia A. ↓, Nteka R. ↑,
81', Samu Costa ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
81', Maffeo P. ↓, Prats A. ↑,
85', Torre P. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rayo Vallecano is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (International duty) Luiz Felipe (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Mallorca: Morlanes M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mallorca: Pichu Cuellar (Injury) Raillo A. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	2	3	4	12:20	-8	9

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Rayo Vallecano: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Rayo Vallecano - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.76%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.26	Granada - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.01.26	Rayo Vallecano - Getafe	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Rayo Vallecano - Drita Gjilan	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
15.12.25	Rayo Vallecano - Betis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLWT
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.26	Mallorca - Girona	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Mallorca - Elche	3:1 ✺
05.12.25	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.05.25	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	0:0
20.10.24	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
11.02.24	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	2:1
30.09.23	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	2:2
04.06.23	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	3:0
27.08.22	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	0:2
15.05.22	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	2:1

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