The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arenas Club de Getxo 30.5%
Draw 40.9%
Lugo 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
29%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenas Club de Getxo's form might have worsened.
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenas Club de Getxo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
13. Pena A. (G) 20. Zabaleta E. 21. Sillero J. 4. Alvarez P. 19. Mutilva C. 24. Boriko S. 8. Zabala M. 16. Verde A. 7. Collado U. 12. Lartitegi J. 17. Rodriguez J. L.
1. Martinez M. (G) 17. Caballo D. 4. Trigueros P. 24. Gaya J. 6. Nicholas N. 14. Presa K. 8. Balboa A. 11. Pastrana V. 15. Reniero N. 19. Unzueta I. 23. Junior L.
Substitutes
5. Garcia P. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 10. Hidalgo A. 18. Honrado A. 25. Jarauta J. (G) 22. Mattheus C. 23. Sustatxa A. 11. Troncho A. 9. Vazquez A.
10. Alba T. 5. Carbonell A. 9. Celorio N. 3. Garriz I. 7. Gonzalez J. 16. Jose Amo 2. Merino J. 13. Piedra I. (G) 18. Roson D. 22. Samanes S. 21. Teofilovic O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Rodriguez J. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Junior L. 🟨,
59', Trigueros P. 🟨,
65', Lartitegi J. ↓, Troncho A. ↑,
70', Unzueta I. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
70', Pastrana V. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
70', Junior L. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
80', Boriko S. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
81', Balboa A. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
81', Reniero N. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
90', Troncho A. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 13).
Recent form of Arenas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Lugo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Including home match between the teams, Arenas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Spain
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Pena A. (G) 
Boriko S. 
Nicholas N. 
Reniero N. 
Junior L. 
Teofilovic O. 
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