Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	UD Ourense		Alondras

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.35	4.9
	1.74	3.42	4.54
	1.69	3.36	4.78
	1.67	3.35	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)	4.78 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
53.9%

Draw
27.1%

Alondras
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Alondras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Vazquez O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 2 - 0, Perez J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

UD Ourense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Alondras is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UD Ourense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams UD Ourense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Silva SD - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	UD Ourense - RC Villalbes	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	UD Ourense - Estradense	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	UD Ourense - Somozas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWTT
- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Alondras - Betanzos	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Villalonga - Alondras	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Polvorín - Alondras	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Alondras - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Noia - Alondras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.12.24	Alondras - UD Ourense	0:4
21.01.24	UD Ourense - Alondras	2:1
26.02.23	UD Ourense - Alondras	0:2
30.10.22	Alondras - UD Ourense	0:1

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