Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	UD Ourense		Deportivo A Coruña B

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.1	1.92
	3.65	3.06	2.03	Watch
	4.06	3.31	2.03
	3.25	2.9	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 (3.65)	3.09 ↑ (3.06)	2.07 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
25.3%

Draw
29.9%

Deportivo A Coruña B
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

29.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

29.5%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportivo A Coruña B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña B than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

UD Ourense - Deportivo A Coruña B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Najera M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Gamarra V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

UD Ourense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportivo B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo A Coruña B - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.05%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	UD Ourense - Pontevedra	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Coruxo - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	UD Ourense - Langreo	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	UD Ourense - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWTT
- Deportivo A Coruña B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Lealtad - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Langreo	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:4 ✺
28.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
02.04.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - UD Ourense	1:1
08.12.22	UD Ourense - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2
03.11.19	Deportivo A Coruña B - UD Ourense	3:1

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