Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	UD Ourense		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.05	2.98
	2.34	3.1	3.08
	2.3	3.1	3.03	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3
	2.31	2.96	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.65)	3.02 ↑ (2.8)	3.03 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
39.7%

Draw
30.2%

Gimnástica Segoviana
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

32.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

31.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

UD Ourense - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, Vazquez O. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

G Segoviana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Marino de Luanco - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	UD Ourense - Sámano	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Langreo - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	UD Ourense - Real Oviedo B	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Sarriana - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLWL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Astorga - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lealtad - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Marino de Luanco	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.12.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD Ourense	2:0

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