Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	UD Ourense		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.73	3.45	4.3
	1.66	3.27	4.68
	1.68	3.44	4.91	Watch
	1.65	3.58	4.68
	1.73	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.93)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	4.53 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
53.6%

Draw
26.4%

Gran Peña
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

25.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gran Peña might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

UD Ourense - Gran Peña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Cellerino G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.11.24	Somozas - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	UD Ourense - Boiro	4:3 ✺
03.11.24	Villalonga - UD Ourense	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	UD Ourense - Valladares	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Arosa - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWWT
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.11.24	Gran Peña - Betanzos	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Polvorín - Gran Peña	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Gran Peña - RC Villalbes	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Noia - Gran Peña	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Gran Peña - Viveiro	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.06.24	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	2:1
02.06.24	UD Ourense - Gran Peña	3:3
24.02.24	UD Ourense - Gran Peña	0:2
08.10.23	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	1:1
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	5:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
29.01.23	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	1:0
25.09.22	UD Ourense - Gran Peña	2:1

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