Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	UD Ourense		Paiosaco

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.2
	1.67	3.42	4.66
	1.67	3.59	4.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)	3.5 ↓ (3.58)	4.58 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
54.4%

Draw
25.9%

Paiosaco
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Paiosaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Paiosaco aligns with the current prediction.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, De Prado S. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Alfaya Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 3 - 0, Parrilla P. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 4.

UD Ourense in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paiosaco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's UD Ourense to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 8 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams UD Ourense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.05.24	UD Ourense - Pontevedra B	4:0 ✺
21.04.24	UD Ourense - Arosa	4:1 ✺
14.04.24	Sarriana - UD Ourense	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	UD Ourense - Betanzos	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Silva SD - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWTW
- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.05.24	Barbadás - Paiosaco	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Arzúa - Paiosaco	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Paiosaco - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Gran Peña - Paiosaco	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Paiosaco - Arosa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.01.24	Paiosaco - UD Ourense	0:1
26.03.23	UD Ourense - Paiosaco	2:0
04.12.22	Paiosaco - UD Ourense	0:0
06.06.21	Paiosaco - UD Ourense	0:1
25.04.21	UD Ourense - Paiosaco	4:3
25.08.19	Paiosaco - UD Ourense	1:1
10.03.19	Paiosaco - UD Ourense	3:0

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