Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya (San Miguelito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	UMECIT		San Francisco

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.75	2.35
	3.05	2.8	2.4
	3.21	2.88	2.42
	3.21	2.86	2.47	Watch
	3.15	2.79	2.37
	3.05	2.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.11)	2.81 ↓ (2.82)	2.4 (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UMECIT
29.5%

Draw
32.5%

San Francisco
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

32.5%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

32.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UMECIT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for San Francisco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

UMECIT - San Francisco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Burgess C. (G) 13. Candelo K. 4. Delgado J. 6. Fuentes J. 30. Gamboa M. 9. Goluz Pena B. 22. Palmezano A. 11. Rivera J. 18. Rodriguez E. 35. Rodriguez E. 16. Rodriguez J.	1. Cruz X. (G) 9. Blackburn R. 26. Cabezas Segura O. E. 14. Calderon Kevin 19. Camargo M. 8. Carrasquilla E. 3. Gondola E. 10. Pinzon D. 25. Rivera S. 18. Rodriguez A. 77. Sinisterra C.
Substitutes
10. Avila R. 90. Catuy J. 12. Dimas E. (G) 23. Garcia A. 7. Gonzalez J. 99. Japa E. 3. Medina V. 17. Peralta H. 19. Saldana A. 41. Toribio	17. Benitez G. 22. Flores I. (G) 30. Mosquera A. 81. Ramirez A. 6. Rangel E. 63. Rodriguez E. 7. Samms E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Goluz Pena B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Pinzon D. 🟨,
56', Blackburn R. 🟨,
58', Delgado J. 🟨,
65', Camargo M. 🟨,
70', Pinzon D. ↓, Benitez G. ↑,
70', Rivera J. ↓, Japa E. ↑,
70', Palmezano A. 🟨,
73', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
77', Rodriguez E. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
78', Sinisterra C. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
79', Rodriguez J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Japa E. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 0, Catuy J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 3.

UMECIT is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Francisco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UMECIT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Francisco has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, UMECIT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMECIT FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
27.04.25	Veraguas - UMECIT	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	UMECIT - Deportivo Universitario	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Herrera - UMECIT	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Tauro - UMECIT	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- San Francisco FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
25.04.25	San Francisco - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	San Francisco - Herrera	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	San Francisco - Veraguas	4:0 ✺
28.03.25	San Francisco - Alianza Panama	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Árabe Unido - San Francisco	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
03.02.25	San Francisco - UMECIT	0:2
01.11.24	San Francisco - UMECIT	0:2
21.07.24	UMECIT - San Francisco	0:2
27.04.24	UMECIT - San Francisco	1:0
20.01.24	San Francisco - UMECIT	0:0
06.10.23	San Francisco - UMECIT	2:1
22.07.23	UMECIT - San Francisco	0:1

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