Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Inter
World	Pluto TV


	Necaxa		Tijuana

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.08	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.19	3.58	3.47
	2.18	3.54	3.21	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3
	2.14	3.48	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.22)	3.44 ↓ (3.57)	3.27 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Necaxa
44.2%

Draw
27.2%

Tijuana
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

26.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Necaxa - Tijuana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tijuana will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Unsain E. (C) 4. Pena A. 33. Martinez R. 3. Oliveros A. 5. Gutierrez K. 30. Monreal R. 6. Leyva D. 8. Faravelli L. 16. Calderon C. 35. Ruiz J. 9. Badaloni T.	2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Inzunza R. 12. Porozo J. 4. Bilbao U. 6. Gomez A. 16. Vega A. 22. Rivero I. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 31. Abreu D. 10. Castaneda K.
Substitutes
10. Almendra A. E. 232. Alonso R. 189. Casas B. 17. Cortez R. 12. Jimenez L. (G) 26. Lara E. 20. Mendez F. 210. Palacios J. 24. Rossano F. 188. Tello I.	32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 27. Blanco D. 34. Boya F. 9. El Ghezouani M. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 25. Manzanarez O. 30. Martinez J. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 187. Padilla G. 11. Preciado A.
Coaches
Varini M.	Abreu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽,
43', Castaneda K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽,
64', Castaneda K. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
64', Gomez A. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
73', Abreu D. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Badaloni T. ⚽, Monreal R. (A),
78', Martinez R. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
78', Calderon C. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
86', Ruiz J. ↓, Tello I. ↑,
86', Arciga R. 🟨,
89', Faravelli L. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.

Necaxa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tijuana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Necaxa might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Necaxa: Rosero K. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Necaxa: Pena A. (Injury) Rossano F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tijuana: Inzunza R. (Injury) Mora G. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12:20	-8	8

Last Results with these Odds

Necaxa - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
13.03.26	Puebla - Necaxa	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Necaxa - UNAM	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Pachuca - Necaxa	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Club León - Necaxa	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Necaxa - Toluca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
14.03.26	Club León - Tijuana	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Tijuana - Santos Laguna	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Atlas - Tijuana	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Tijuana - UNAM	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tijuana - Mazatlan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
31.08.25	Tijuana - Necaxa	3:0
04.04.25	Tijuana - Necaxa	1:2
18.10.24	Necaxa - Tijuana	1:2
05.04.24	Tijuana - Necaxa	2:3
07.07.23	Necaxa - Tijuana	1:1
03.02.23	Necaxa - Tijuana	1:1
18.09.22	Tijuana - Necaxa	1:1

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