Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	UNAN Managua		Sport Sébaco

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.8	2.72
	1.95	5.17	2.59
	2.11	4.57	2.65	Watch
	2.05	3.8	2.8
	2.12	4.03	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (3.49)	4.27 ↑ (3.64)	2.73 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAN Managua
44.8%

Draw
21.5%

Sport Sébaco
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

25.2%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

24.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAN Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNAN Managua's performance.

Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Sébaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAN Managua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Sébaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UNAN Managua - Sport Sébaco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - UNAN Managua (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAN Managua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAN Managua won 1.

UNAN Managua is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sport Sébaco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sport Sébaco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, UNAN Managua won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAN Managua won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.9:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	UNAN-Managua	10	6	2	2	12:7	5	20
5	Sport Sebaco	9	3	2	4	9:17	-8	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAN Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
18.04.26	Managua - UNAN Managua	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Real Madriz - UNAN Managua	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	UNAN Managua - Municipal Jalapa	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	UNAN Managua - Matagalpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TLLLW
- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
19.04.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	3:2 ✺
16.04.26	Sport Sébaco - Diriangén	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Rancho Santana - Sport Sébaco	0:3 ✺
09.04.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
22.02.26	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	4:1
23.11.25	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	3:1
14.09.25	UNAN Managua - Sport Sébaco	2:4
09.02.25	UNAN Managua - Sport Sébaco	3:2
15.09.24	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	3:0
13.03.24	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	2:1
26.11.23	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	5:1

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