Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Sport Sébaco		Real Madriz

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	4.1
	1.65	3.6	4.35	Watch
	1.68	3.68	4.47
	1.69	3.92	4.46	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.33
	1.73	3.81	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	3.69 ↓ (3.74)	4.37 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Sébaco
54.2%

Draw
24.8%

Real Madriz
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

25.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Sébaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Real Madriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 🟥,
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 1.

Sport Sébaco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Madriz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sport Sébaco is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sport Sébaco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sport Sebaco	9	3	2	4	9:17	-8	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
08.03.26	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sport Sébaco - Managua	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Matagalpa - Sport Sébaco	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Real Madriz
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
08.03.26	Real Madriz - Managua	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Matagalpa - Real Madriz	2:4 ✺
01.03.26	Real Madriz - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Real Estelí - Real Madriz	3:0 ✺
23.02.26	Rancho Santana - Real Madriz	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
08.02.26	Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco	1:0
10.08.25	Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz	3:0
01.05.22	Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco	0:0
09.03.22	Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz	1:1
20.11.21	Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz	2:3
25.09.21	Real Madriz - Sport Sébaco	3:3

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