Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Real Madriz		UNAN Managua

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.1
	1.98	3.5	3.1
	1.98	3.49	3.33
	2.02	3.68	3.32	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	2.03	3.75	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madriz
46%

Draw
25.6%

UNAN Managua
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

25.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madriz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

UNAN Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madriz than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Real Madriz - UNAN Managua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 0.

Real Madriz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UNAN Managua's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Madriz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, UNAN Managua has had a series of home games.

Real Madriz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Real Madriz won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madriz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	UNAN-Managua	10	6	2	2	12:7	5	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madriz
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
09.04.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Madriz	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Real Madriz - Managua	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Matagalpa - Real Madriz	2:4 ✺
01.03.26	Real Madriz - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Real Estelí - Real Madriz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TLWWL
- UNAN Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
08.04.26	UNAN Managua - Municipal Jalapa	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	UNAN Managua - Matagalpa	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	UNAN Managua - Real Estelí	0:3 ✺
26.02.26	Walter Ferretti - UNAN Managua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
11.02.26	UNAN Managua - Real Madriz	3:0
26.10.25	UNAN Managua - Real Madriz	2:1
16.08.25	Real Madriz - UNAN Managua	0:3
06.04.22	UNAN Managua - Real Madriz	3:1
12.02.22	Real Madriz - UNAN Managua	0:1
21.10.21	Real Madriz - UNAN Managua	0:1
22.08.21	UNAN Managua - Real Madriz	3:5

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