Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lower.com Field (Columbus, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	NHK BS1, U-NEXT
Usa	Futbol de Primera Radio, HBO Max, NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, TNT, UNIVERSO NOW


	USA		Japan

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3	3.5	2.2
	3.05	3.25	2.28
	3.16	3.4	2.29
	2.95	3.46	2.26	Watch
	3.28	3.55	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.58)	3.41 ↓ (3.46)	2.26 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
30.9%

Draw
27.5%

Japan
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.1%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USA's form might have worsened.

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

USA - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Japan will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Freese M. (G) New York City 3. Richards C. Crystal Palace 15. Blackmon T. Vancouver Whitecaps 13. Ream T. (C) Charlotte FC 16. Freeman A. Orlando City 4. Adams T. Bournemouth 24. Roldan C. Seattle Sounders 10. Pulisic C. AC Milan 17. Zendejas A. Club America 18. Arfsten M. Columbus Crew 20. Balogun F. Monaco	12. Osako K. (G) Sanfrecce Hiroshima 26. Mochizuki H. Machida Zelvia 21. Sano K. Mainz 25. Araki H. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16. Hiroki S. Reims 17. Fujita J. St. Pauli 13. Suzuki Y. Freiburg 5. Nagatomo Y. (C) FC Tokyo 14. Ito J. Genk 19. Ogawa K. Nijmegen 11. Maeda D. Celtic
Substitutes
5. Banks N. Augsburg 8. Berhalter S. Vancouver Whitecaps 14. de la Torre L. San Diego FC 2. Dest S. PSV 11. Downs D. Southampton 19. Harriel N. Philadelphia Union 12. Klinsmann J. (G) Cesena 7. Luna D. Real Salt Lake 6. McGlynn J. Houston Dynamo 9. Sargent J. Norwich 21. Weah T. Marseille	6. Endo W. Liverpool 23. Hayakawa T. (G) Kashima Antlers 24. Hosoya M. Kashiwa Reysol 4. Itakura K. Ajax 15. Kamada D. Crystal Palace 20. Kubo T. Real Sociedad 18. Machino S. B. Monchengladbach 8. Minamino T. Monaco 7. Mitoma K. Brighton 27. Sano K. Nijmegen 22. Seko A. Le Havre 2. Sugawara Y. Werder Bremen 1. Suzuki Z. (G) Parma 9. Ueda A. Feyenoord 3. Watanabe T. Feyenoord
Coaches
Pochettino M.	Moriyasu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Zendejas A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Zendejas A. ⚽, Arfsten M. (A),
35', Ogawa K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Seko A. ↑,
61', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
62', Suzuki Y. ↓, Minamino T. ↑,
62', Maeda D. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
62', Fujita J. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Balogun F. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
65', Zendejas A. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
66', Adams T. ↓, Dest S. ↑,
66', Pulisic C. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
66', Arfsten M. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
73', Ogawa K. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
73', Mochizuki H. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
79', Balogun F. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
84', Blackmon T. ↓, Harriel N. ↑,

Preview

Japan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, USA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA
Friendly
06.09.25	USA - South Korea	0:2 ✺
Gold Cup
06.07.25	USA - Mexico	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	USA - Guatemala	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	USA - Costa Rica	3:2 penalties ✺
22.06.25	USA - Haiti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW
- Japan
Friendly
06.09.25	Mexico - Japan	0:0 ✺
EAFF E-1
15.07.25	South Korea - Japan	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Japan - China	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Japan - Hong Kong	6:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Japan - Indonesia	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
23.09.22	Japan - USA	2:0
Olympic Games - Football Women
09.08.12	USA - Japan	2:1

USA - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide