The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
USM Alger 48.4%
Draw 31.6%
Zamalek 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
32%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
32.6%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USM Alger's performance.
Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamalek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USM Alger that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamalek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
USM Alger - Zamalek Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Benbot O. (G) 19. Radouani S. (C) 4. Malone Junior C. 13. Dehiri H. 12. Loucif H. 6. Draoui Z. 8. Merili I. 14. Benzaza B. 30. Tendeng A. 7. Khaldi A. 29. Kamagate D.
37. Soliman E. M. (G) 17. Shehata M. (C) 24. Ismail M. 5. Abdelmaguid H. 28. El Wensh Mahmoud 3. Bentayg M. 18. Kaied A. 13. Fatouh A. 19. El Said A. 32. Banza C. 27. Dabbagh O.
Substitutes
3. Atmania S. 9. Benayad R. 24. Bouderbala M. 26. Boulares O. 22. Boutaoui M. 23. Chetti I. 11. Likonza G. 20. Mahrouz R. 16. Soufi K. (G)
1. Awad M. (G) 26. El Sayed M. 11. Esho 34. Hassan M. I. 30. Jaziri S. 33. Juan Alvina 9. Mansy N. 12. Rabie A. 31. Sherif A.
Coaches
N'Diyae L.
Gamal M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Loucif H. 🟨,
45', Radouani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', Kamagate D. ↓, Bouderbala M. ↑,
73', Tendeng A. ↓, Likonza G. ↑,
73', Kaied A. ↓, Juan Alvina ↑,
81', Malone Junior C. 🟨,
86', Dabbagh O. ↓, Sherif A. ↑,
86', Fatouh A. ↓, Rabie A. ↑,
86', Benzaza B. ↓, Mahrouz R. ↑,
88', Banza C. 🟨,
90+6', Benbot O. 🟨,
90+6', Bentayg M. 🟥,
90+7', Banza C. ↓, Esho ↑,
90+8', 1 - 0, Khaldi A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
USM Alger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Zamalek has had a series of home games.
USM Alger could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, USM Alger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.