Match Info

Serie A - Round 26

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bologna		Udinese

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.45	4.25	Watch
	1.89	3.65	4.4
	1.93	3.37	4.29	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.96	3.57	4.46
	1.85	3.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.03)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	4.25 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
50.2%

Draw
27.4%

Udinese
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

28.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

30%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	13.5%	12.2%

Bologna - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 55 - 75.3%). Udinese will win (votes: 9 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 65.4% – 85.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

1X2, 2nd Half - Bologna (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bologna (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Bologna (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Udinese (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 24 - 88.9%). Udinese (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 17. Joao Mario 41. Vitik M. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 8. Freuler R. (C) 4. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. 23. Sohm S. 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.	40. Okoye M. (G) 27. Kabasele C. 31. Kristensen T. 28. Solet O. 19. Ehizibue K. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 14. Atta A. 33. Zemura J. 10. Zaniolo N. 18. Buksa A.
Substitutes
10. Bernardeschi F. 28. Cambiaghi N. 16. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 5. Fauske Helland E. 19. Ferguson L. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 25. Pessina M. (G) 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N.	20. Arizala J. 15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 29. Camara A. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 7. Gueye I. 38. Miller L. 22. Mlacic B. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Solet O. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
56', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
56', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
62', Buksa A. 🟨,
68', Miranda J. 🟨,
71', Buksa A. ↓, Ekkelenkamp J. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Bernardeschi F. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Karlstrom J. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
80', Kabasele C. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
82', Miranda J. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
85', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Udinese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bologna is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Dominguez B. (Illness) Lykogiannis C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Davis K. (Injury) Kamara H. (Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Solet O. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.25% Udinese: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Brann - Bologna	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Torino - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.02.26	Bologna - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
08.02.26	Bologna - Parma	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Bologna - Milan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Udinese - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lecce - Udinese	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Udinese - Roma	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Verona - Udinese	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Udinese - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3
28.04.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:0
18.08.24	Bologna - Udinese	1:1
28.04.24	Bologna - Udinese	1:1
30.12.23	Udinese - Bologna	3:0
02.04.23	Bologna - Udinese	3:0
15.01.23	Udinese - Bologna	1:2

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