Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Final

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Ufa		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	2.83	3.04	2.96	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.62)	3 ↑ (2.82)	2.88 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
35.1%

Draw
31.8%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

32.3%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

33.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Chernov A. (G) 88. Ageyan M. 23. Akhatov D. 77. Chimezie W. 10. Gystarov R. 8. Isaev S. 69. Khanenko I. 50. Khomukha I. 55. Shlyakov E. 79. Troyanov K. 22. Yusupov Z. (C)	43. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 70. Bober I. 7. Dzhamilov S. 14. Mashukov I. 23. Mikhaylov D. 5. Musalov M. 6. Rodin D. 12. Shiryaev M. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 65. Tolstopyatov N. (C) 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Substitutes
96. Baranovsky A. 31. Belenov A. (G) 93. Garaev V. 15. Khabalov A. 21. Matskharashvili N. 19. Mayorov E. 11. Minatulaev O. 24. Mrzljak F. 70. Ortiz D. 17. Ozmanov D.	1. Golubev A. (G) 24. Kakhidze A. 10. Kokoev D. 74. Kuchugura D. 15. Nikitin A. 2. Sitdikov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ageyan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dzhamilov S. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
46', Mikhaylov D. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
46', Tolstopyatov N. ↓, Nikitin A. ↑,
62', Rodin D. ↓, Kakhidze A. ↑,
62', Musalov M. ↓, Sitdikov M. ↑,
64', Isaev S. 🟨,
67', Khanenko I. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
68', Yusupov Z. ↓, Khabalov A. ↑,
68', Chimezie W. ↓, Mayorov E. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Sukhomlinov D. ⚽,
87', Gystarov R. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
87', Ageyan M. ↓, Matskharashvili N. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Matskharashvili N. (Pen),
1, Mashukov I. (Pen),
2, Akhatov D. (Pen),
2, Nikitin A. (Pen),
3, Khabalov A. (Pen),
3, Kokoev D. (Pen),
4, Isaev S. (Pen),
4, Bober I. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
20.10.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Ufa	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Sokol Saratov - Ufa	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Ufa - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWTT
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
20.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rotor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
25.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2
04.05.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0
21.07.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	2:1
27.05.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	2:0
06.11.22	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0
11.05.14	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1
18.10.13	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	1:1

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