Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 3

Date: 26 July 2024, Friday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	MATCH! TV, Sportbox.ru


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Ufa

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.85	6.08
	1.58	3.88	5.73	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	3.81 ↑ (3.6)	5.74 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
59.2%

Draw
24.5%

Ufa
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.6%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

25.9%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+1%)

Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Borisko M. (G) 10. Alex Fernandes 16. Andrade K. 4. Gassama N. 23. Glushkov N. 8. Kaplenko K. 7. Malyarov K. 96. Mokhammad A. 18. Nikishin K. 5. Osipov A. (C) 19. Pryakhin S.	1. Baklov O. (C) 27. Anisimov A. 18. Gurenko A. 10. Gystarov R. 62. Karpov V. 21. Matskharashvili N. 72. Mullin K. 97. Pasevich R. 7. Perchenok A. 45. Tenyaev A. 38. Zakharov G.
Substitutes
80. Arbuzov Y. 59. Avanesyan T. 3. Kalachev I. 11. Kovalev Y. 2. Luna D. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 95. Petrov I. 17. Saus V. 9. Stefanovich I. 1. Svinov I. (G) 13. Terentjev D. 22. Titkov N.	88. Ageyan M. 40. Chernov A. (G) 93. Garaev V. 8. Isaev S. 11. Lozhkin V. 17. Ozmanov D. 22. Shavaev A.
Coaches
Grishchenko A.	Kharlachev Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Andrade K. 🟨,
22', Gystarov R. 🟨,
33', Anisimov A. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Gurenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kaplenko K. ↓, Avanesyan T. ↑,
47', Perchenok A. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Pryakhin S. ⚽,
62', Gystarov R. ↓, Isaev S. ↑,
71', Osipov A. ↓, Terentjev D. ↑,
71', Mokhammad A. ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
80', Tenyaev A. 🟨,
80', Pasevich R. ↓, Garaev V. ↑,
80', Pryakhin S. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
87', Nikishin K. ↓, Saus V. ↑,
90+5', Baklov O. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baltika won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Baltika is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Baltika won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Baltika won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
21.07.24	Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	4:1 ✺
02.07.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.06.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLWL
- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
21.07.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	2:1 ✺
15.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Ufa	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Spartak Moscow - Ufa	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.06.24	Ufa - Rotor	0:0 ✺
03.06.24	Krasnodar 2 - Ufa	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
22.04.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa	3:2
01.10.22	Ufa - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2
Club Friendly
20.02.22	Ufa - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1
19.06.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa	Canceled
19.06.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa	0:2
Russian FNL
27.10.13	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa	1:1
18.07.13	Ufa - Baltika Kaliningrad	3:2

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