Match Info

World Championship - Qualification

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Molotov TV, TF 1, TF1+
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Ukraine		France

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.3
	8.75	5	1.35
	9.8	4.95	1.34	Watch
	9.69	5.4	1.34
	8.92	5.07	1.33	Watch
	8	4.33	1.4
	9.7	5.27	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.12 ↑ (7.91)	5.07 ↑ (4.44)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ukraine
10.5%

Draw
18.8%

France
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

21.2%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ukraine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	15.8%	73.7%

Ukraine - France Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). France will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - France (1.95) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - France (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - France (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): France will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Ukraine (votes: 2 - 14.3%). France (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Trubin A. (G) Benfica 2. Konoplya Y. Shakhtar 13. Zabarnyi I. PSG 22. Matviienko M. (C) Shakhtar 17. Zinchenko O. Nottingham 20. Zubkov O. Trabzonspor 18. Yarmolyuk Y. Brentford 8. Sudakov G. Benfica 6. Kaliuzhnyi I. Metalist 1925 9. Gutsulyak O. Polissya Zhytomyr 11. Dovbyk A. AS Roma	16. Maignan M. (G) AC Milan 5. Kounde J. Barcelona 15. Konate I. Liverpool 4. Upamecano D. Bayern Munich 3. Digne L. Aston Villa 13. Kone M. AS Roma 8. Tchouameni A. Real Madrid 20. Barcola B. PSG 11. Olise M. Bayern Munich 12. Doue D. PSG 10. Mbappe K. (C) Real Madrid
Substitutes
19. Bondarenko A. Shakhtar 5. Bondar V. Shakhtar 1. Bushchan G. (G) Al Shabab 3. Mykhavko T. Dynamo Kyiv 15. Mykhaylichenko B. Polissya Zhytomyr 21. Nazarenko O. Polissya Zhytomyr 14. Ocheretko O. Shakhtar 23. Riznyk D. (G) Shakhtar 10. Shaparenko M. Dynamo Kyiv 4. Svatok O. Austin FC 7. Vanat V. Girona 16. Voloshyn N. Dynamo Kyiv	18. Akliouche M. Monaco 23. Chevalier L. (G) PSG 7. Dembele O. PSG 19. Ekitike H. Liverpool 17. Gusto M. Chelsea 21. Hernandez L. PSG 22. Hernandez T. Al Hilal 2. Pavard B. Marseille 14. Rabiot A. AC Milan 1. Samba B. (G) Rennes 6. Thuram K. Juventus 9. Thuram M. Inter
Coaches
Rebrov S.	Deschamps D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Olise M. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Doue D. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
76', Zubkov O. ↓, Nazarenko O. ↑,
76', Dovbyk A. ↓, Vanat V. ↑,
76', Barcola B. ↓, Rabiot A. ↑,
81', Dembele O. ↓, Ekitike H. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Tchouameni A. (A),
82', Sudakov G. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
82', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
87', Zinchenko O. ↓, Voloshyn N. ↑,
90+2', Kounde J. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
90+2', Olise M. ↓, Akliouche M. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Tarczynski Arena.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 1.

In this match, France is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Ukraine: Lunin A. (Back Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sych O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in France: Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Saliba W. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in France: Dembele O. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ukraine
Friendly
10.06.25	New Zealand - Ukraine	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Canada - Ukraine	4:2 ✺
UEFA Nations League
23.03.25	Belgium - Ukraine	3:0 ✺
20.03.25	Ukraine - Belgium	3:1 ✺
19.11.24	Albania - Ukraine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLWW
- France
UEFA Nations League
08.06.25	Germany - France	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Spain - France	5:4 ✺
23.03.25	France - Croatia	3:0 penalties ✺
20.03.25	Croatia - France	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Italy - France	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
04.09.21	Ukraine - France	1:1
24.03.21	France - Ukraine	1:1
Friendly
07.10.20	France - Ukraine	7:1
FIFA World Cup
19.11.13	France - Ukraine	3:0
15.11.13	Ukraine - France	2:0
Euro 2012 *
15.06.12	Ukraine - France	N/A

Ukraine - France: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide