Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Ulinzi Stars		Talanta

	1	X	2
	2.23	2.9	3.25
	2.15	3	3.27
	2.2	3.05	3.26	Watch
	2.2	2.93	3.31
	2.38	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)	2.95 ↑ (2.93)	3.23 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulinzi Stars
40.8%

Draw
30.9%

Talanta
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.8%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Ulinzi Stars - Talanta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Muchiri B. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Karani ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 3 - 0, Samunya A. ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, Kajos ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ulinzi Stars won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ulinzi Stars could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ulinzi Stars have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ulinzi Stars won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ulinzi Stars won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
23.04.25	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Police FC - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
13.04.25	Bidco United - Ulinzi Stars	0:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
04.04.25	Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Bandari - Ulinzi Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWWLL
- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
24.04.25	Gor Mahia - Talanta	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Talanta - Shabana	2:4 ✺
06.04.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Talanta	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Talanta - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Talanta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
27.11.24	Talanta - Ulinzi Stars	1:0
04.02.24	Ulinzi Stars - Talanta	1:0
02.12.23	Talanta - Ulinzi Stars	0:3
21.12.22	Talanta - Ulinzi Stars	0:3
13.03.22	Talanta - Ulinzi Stars	0:0
07.11.21	Ulinzi Stars - Talanta	2:2

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