Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Hannover

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.35
	2.65	3.45	2.49	Watch
	2.73	3.6	2.63
	2.67	3.5	2.57	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.68	3.54	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.77)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.49 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
34.8%

Draw
27.2%

Hannover
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

27.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Ulm 1846 - Hannover Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hannover will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hannover (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Hannover (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Hannover (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hannover (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiede N. (G) 4. Gaal T. 32. Strompf P. (C) 27. Kolbe N. 7. Allgeier B. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 16. Keller A. 21. Batista Meier O. 33. Higl F. 29. Telalovic S.	1. Zieler R. (C) 2. Knight J. 3. Tomiak B. 5. Neumann P. 38. Momuluh T. 8. Leopold E. 6. Kunze F. 37. Ezeh B. 11. Lee H. 25. Gindorf L. 9. Tresoldi N.
Substitutes
11. Chessa D. 6. Geyer T. 38. Hyrylainen L. 22. Kahvic A. 10. Ludwig A. 19. Meier J. 39. Ortag C. (G) 43. Rosch R. 9. Roser L.	15. Aseko-Nkili N. 14. Chakroun H. 13. Christiansen M. 20. Dehm J. 21. Muroya S. 29. Oudenne K. 32. Voglsammer A. 30. Weinkauf L. (G)
Coaches
Worle T.	Barlemann L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Gaal T. (Own goal),
45+1', Telalovic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Telalovic S. ⚽, Higl F. (A),
52', Higl F. 🟨,
60', Lee H. ↓, Oudenne K. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Knight J. ⚽, Neumann P. (A),
69', Tomiak B. 🟥,
71', Batista Meier O. (Pen),
71', Neumann P. 🟨,
73', Higl F. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
74', Momuluh T. ↓, Dehm J. ↑,
75', Knight J. 🟨,
78', Batista Meier O. 🟨,
81', Allgeier B. ↓, Rosch R. ↑,
81', Batista Meier O. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
85', Tresoldi N. ↓, Voglsammer A. ↑,
85', Gindorf L. ↓, Christiansen M. ↑,
89', Gaal T. ↓, Hyrylainen L. ↑,
89', Brandt M. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 9).

Ulm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hannover's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hannover may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Ulm: Krattenmacher M. (Yellow Cards) Reichert J. (Knock)

There will not play in Hannover: Halstenberg M. (Yellow Cards) Ngankam J. (Leg Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Ulm 1846 - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
25.04.25	Greuther Fürth - Ulm 1846	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWLW
- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
27.04.25	Hannover - Köln	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Darmstadt - Hannover	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Hannover - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
04.04.25	Karlsruher - Hannover	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Hannover - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
07.12.24	Hannover - Ulm 1846	3:2

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