Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Ulsan HD		Bucheon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.60	3.70	4.50
	1.70	3.83	4.91
	1.69	3.78	4.66	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.75
	1.68	3.88	4.61
	1.65	3.65	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	4.67 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
55.6%

Draw
24.6%

Bucheon
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 11th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Ulsan is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bucheon has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ulsan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Ulsan for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ulsan has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ulsan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48:44	4	47
11	Bucheon FC 1995 ✔	31	7	11	13	31:42	-11	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
11.10.26	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	4:3 ✺
19.09.26	Anyang - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Ulsan HD - FC Seoul	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWT
- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
09.10.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Bucheon - Jeju	2:2 ✺
08.09.26	Incheon United - Bucheon	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
10.05.26	Ulsan HD - Bucheon	1:0
15.03.26	Bucheon - Ulsan HD	1:2
South Korean Cup
29.06.22	Ulsan HD - Bucheon	2:1 penalties

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