Match Info

K League 1 - Round 32

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	18:30	Stan Sport
Austria	09:30	Laola1
Finland	10:30	Veikkaus TV
Germany	09:30	Laola1
Russia	10:30	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
South Korea	16:30	Coupang Play
International	07:30	K League TV


	Ulsan HD		Bucheon

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.50	4.33	5.75
	1.6	3.8	4.6
	1.68	4.11	5.09
	1.66	3.93	4.79	Watch
	1.64	4	4.95
	1.65	3.92	4.8	Watch
	1.63	3.95	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	3.98 ↑ (3.7)	4.93 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
57.6%

Draw
23.5%

Bucheon
18.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ulsan HD - Bucheon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ulsan HD will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 55. Oude Kotte T. 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 6. Bojanic D. 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 99. Yago Cariello 14. Lee Jin-Hyun	1. Kim H. (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 29. Baek Dong-Gyu (C) 20. Hong Sung-Wook 7. Thiaguinho Santos 4. Ye-Geon S. 23. Takahashi K. 83. Jo Seong-Jun 13. Kim Min-Jun 9. Park Jeong-In 71. Kim Seung-Bin
Substitutes
72. Baek In-Woo 11. Erick Farias 33. Jang Si-Young 17. Kang Sang-Woo 8. Lee H. 38. Park Yong-Woo 13. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 66. Trojak M. 2. Yoon Jong-Gyu	26. An Tae-Hyun 11. Galego 99. Gustavo Nescau 24. Kim Dong-Hyun 14. Kim Jong-Woo 16. Kim Sang-Jun 93. Lee J. 31. Lee Sang-hyeon (G) 25. Yeo Bong-Hun
Coaches
Kim Hyun-seok	Lee Young-Min

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Park Jeong-In ⚽,
45+8', Cho Hyun-Taek 🟨,
45+8', Thiaguinho Santos 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lee Gyu-Seong ↓, Erick Farias ↑,
48', Kim Seung-Bin 🟨,
53', Takahashi K. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Lee Jin-Hyun ⚽, Lee Dong-Gyeong (A),
60', Kim Seung-Bin 🟨,
65', Kim Min-Jun ↓, Galego ↑,
65', Park Jeong-In ↓, Kim Sang-Jun ↑,
77', Jung Seung-Hyun 🟨,
77', Thiaguinho Santos ↓, An Tae-Hyun ↑,
77', Jo Seong-Jun ↓, Lee J. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Yago Cariello ⚽,
87', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Kang Sang-Woo ↑,
87', Bojanic D. ↓, Park Yong-Woo ↑,
89', Takahashi K. ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
90+2', Choi Seok-Hyun ↓, Yoon Jong-Gyu ↑,
90+8', Kang Sang-Woo ↓, Jang Si-Young ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 11th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Bucheon is K League 1 (Relegation Group ).

Ulsan has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bucheon is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ulsan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ulsan carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ulsan has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ulsan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	33	15	6	12	52:47	5	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
11.10.26	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	4:3 ✺
19.09.26	Anyang - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Ulsan HD - FC Seoul	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWT
- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
09.10.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Bucheon - Jeju	2:2 ✺
08.09.26	Incheon United - Bucheon	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
10.05.26	Ulsan HD - Bucheon	1:0
15.03.26	Bucheon - Ulsan HD	1:2
South Korean Cup
29.06.22	Ulsan HD - Bucheon	2:1 penalties

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