Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Ulsan HD		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	8	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6
	1.46	4.1	5.8	Watch
	1.45	4.2	6.2
	1.51	4.5	6.57
	1.47	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.35	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.82)	4.28 ↑ (3.62)	6.52 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
63.7%

Draw
21.9%

Shanghai Shenhua
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

17%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ulsan HD's performance.

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Shenhua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-29.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulsan HD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Shenhua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	9.7%	22.6%

Ulsan HD - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Ulsan is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shanghai Shenhua is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ulsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ulsan is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean Cup
08.11.20	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
04.11.20	Ulsan HD - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.11.20	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Ulsan HD - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWLL
- Shanghai Shenhua
AFC Champions League
18.11.20	Perth Glory - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
10.11.20	Hebei CFFC - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
06.11.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Hebei CFFC	4:1 ✺
01.11.20	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic - Shanghai Shenhua	2:0 ✺
27.10.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 WWWLW

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