Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 23

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Zhezqazghan)


	Ulytau		Taraz

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.19	3.08	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.7)	3.08 ↑ (2.95)	3.24 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulytau
41.9%

Draw
29.8%

Taraz
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

32.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ulytau's performance.

Taraz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taraz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulytau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taraz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Zhangaliev Z. (G) 19. Erden A. 22. Rzataev B. 5. Slambekov D. 31. Dilmurat M. 20. Krasotin A. 12. Nursultanov K. 9. Taubay A. 3. Gunchenko V. 11. Fluk S. 17. Moldakaraev Z.	1. Rakhmetulla E. (G) 5. Keulimzhay E. 4. Asan A. 12. Umirzakov Z. 20. Ashirbek A. 6. Lesbek D. 15. Omey A. 22. Zhaksymbetov M. 10. Toybekov E. 13. Baybosynov N. 87. Zhambyl M.
Substitutes
10. Anuarbekov N. 2. Aslan R. 4. Chalkin M. 6. Ermekuulu A. 8. Kalymbetov A. 7. Kuanyshbay D. 27. Mamirbaev N. 35. Pavlov S. (G) 13. Sapanov M. 21. Shauymbay M. 1. Smailov Y. 15. Zhumagali S.	31. Kemelbek S. 9. Khaytmuratov U. 2. Makhmedzhan E. 17. Mukanbetzhanov A. 19. Orynbasar N. 18. Seitov D. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 8. Zhumat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Nursultanov K. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Taubay A. ⚽,
33', Ashirbek A. 🟨,
35', Rzataev B. 🟥,
37', 1 - 1, Toybekov E. (Pen),
39', Nursultanov K. ↓, Zhumagali S. ↑,
44', Moldakaraev Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Anuarbekov N. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Moldakaraev Z. ⚽,
58', Zhambyl M. 🟨,
75', 4 - 1, Moldakaraev Z. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Ermekuulu A. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

Ulytau in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Taraz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulytau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulytau
Kazakh First League
29.08.24	Ulytau - Turkistan	2:1 ✺
22.08.24	Altai Semey - Ulytau	0:4 ✺
15.08.24	Ulytau - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
02.08.24	Khan Tengri - Ulytau	2:3 ✺
26.07.24	Ulytau - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWWT
- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
29.08.24	Taraz - Kairat 2	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	SD Family - Taraz	1:2 ✺
15.08.24	Altai Semey - Taraz	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Taraz - Arys	3:0 ✺
01.08.24	Taraz - Kaisar 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
16.05.24	Taraz - Ulytau	1:2

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