Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 11

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	União Barbarense		União Suzano

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.9	6.1
	1.48	4.43	4.88
	1.49	4.48	5.08	Watch
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.41	4.25	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.9)	4.21 ↑ (3.25)	5.63 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

União Barbarense
62.4%

Draw
21.5%

União Suzano
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.8%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Barbarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União Barbarense's performance.

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União Suzano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União Barbarense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União Suzano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

União Barbarense - União Suzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Vitao ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, Daniel Cruz ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Ricardinho ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

União Barbarense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

União Suzano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, União Barbarense is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - União Barbarense	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	EC São Bernardo - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	União Barbarense - XV de Jaú	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Catanduva - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	União Barbarense - Francana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTLW
- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.26	União Suzano - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	União Suzano - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Preto - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	União São João - União Suzano	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	União Suzano - Itapirense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLW

União Barbarense - União Suzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide