Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Unión La Calera		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2
	3.65	3.45	1.96	Watch
	3.45	3.5	1.99
	3.7	3.59	2.01
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.58	3.58	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.18)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	2 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
26.1%

Draw
27%

Vélez Sársfield
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

27.3%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

20.5%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez Sársfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión La Calera - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vélez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
01.05.21	Unión La Calera - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	Flamengo - Unión La Calera	4:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.04.21	OHiggins - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.04.21	Unión La Calera - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
17.04.21	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLTT
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	LDU Quito - Vélez Sársfield	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.21	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

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