Match Info

Date: 31 August 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:30	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Sport
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	02:30	Nova Sport 4
Germany	02:30	DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	02:30	ESPN
Poland	02:30	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV
Serbia	02:30	Arena Sport
Slovenia	02:30	Arena Sport


	Vélez Sársfield		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3	2.25
	3.6	3.1	2.2
	3.4	3.05	2.23
	3.71	3.15	2.24
	3.3	2.9	2.2	Watch
	3.5	3.06	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.66)	3.07 ↓ (3.35)	2.22 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
27.1%

Draw
30.6%

Flamengo
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.7%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

27.1%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	30.8%	53.8%

Vélez Sársfield - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). Flamengo will win (votes: 21 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 38.2% – 69.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Flamengo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Flamengo have a series of guest games.

In this match Flamengo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.08.22	Independiente - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
18.08.22	Aldosivi - Vélez Sársfield	3:2 ✺
14.08.22	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.08.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLTW
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
28.08.22	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
24.08.22	São Paulo - Flamengo	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.08.22	Palmeiras - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.08.22	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.08.22	Flamengo - Athletico Paranaense	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
27.05.21	Flamengo - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
20.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Flamengo	2:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.26	Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo	✺
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.26	Flamengo - Grêmio	✺
29.10.26	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	✺

Vélez Sársfield - Flamengo