Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Unión Sur Yaiza		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.7
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.55	2.9	2.75
	2.6	2.94	2.92
	2.59	2.87	2.83
	2.67	3	2.62
	2.55	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.02)	2.91 ↓ (3.13)	2.75 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Sur Yaiza
35.5%

Draw
31.3%

Cacereño
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Sur Yaiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Sur Yaiza's form might have worsened.

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cacereño's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Sur Yaiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cacereño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Sur Yaiza - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Bassele M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Vinuela F. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Fabricio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 2 - 2, Martinez C. ⚽,
63', 2 - 3, Martinez C. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).

Unión Sur Yaiza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión Sur Yaiza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Melilla - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Colonia Moscardó - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TTWWT
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.11.24	Cacereño - Real Madrid C	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Unión Adarve - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cacereño - San Sebastian Reyes	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	Tenerife B - Cacereño	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTLL

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