Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 12

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Unión de Sunchales		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.25
	3.25	2.9	2.25
	3.38	2.77	2.25
	3.38	2.77	2.23
	3.2	2.88	2.2
	3.36	2.94	2.18
	3.05	2.95	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (4.05)	2.86 ↓ (3.5)	2.23 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión de Sunchales
27.9%

Draw
31.6%

Central Norte
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.8%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.2%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión de Sunchales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión de Sunchales's performance.

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Norte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión de Sunchales than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión de Sunchales that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Norte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión de Sunchales - Central Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', 0 - 1, Gomez C. ⚽,
73', 0 - 2, Gomez C. ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, Blanco E. J. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Blanco I. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión de Sunchales won 0.

Unión de Sunchales is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Central Norte is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión de Sunchales could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Central Norte is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Unión de Sunchales won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión de Sunchales won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión de Sunchales
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.05.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Unión de Sunchales	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Unión de Sunchales - General San Martín de Formosa	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Unión de Sunchales - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Juventud Antoniana - Unión de Sunchales	3:0 ✺
04.05.24	Unión de Sunchales - Crucero del Norte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTLL
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.05.24	Central Norte - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Juventud Antoniana - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.04.24	Central Norte - Unión de Sunchales	1:0
25.07.22	Central Norte - Unión de Sunchales	3:2
17.04.22	Unión de Sunchales - Central Norte	0:0
19.09.21	Central Norte - Unión de Sunchales	3:2
20.06.21	Unión de Sunchales - Central Norte	0:1
10.11.19	Unión de Sunchales - Central Norte	1:2

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