Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 38

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Tommaso Dal Molin (Arzignano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Union ArzignanoChiampo		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.7	3.65	4.3
	1.82	3.59	4.21	Watch
	1.7	3.52	4.41	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (3.06)	3.55 ↑ (3.38)	4.26 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union ArzignanoChiampo
52.3%

Draw
26%

FeralpiSalò
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

27.2%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union ArzignanoChiampo's performance.

FeralpiSalò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FeralpiSalò might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union ArzignanoChiampo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FeralpiSalò could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union ArzignanoChiampo - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ArzignanoChiampo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - FeralpiSalò (3.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. ArzignanoChiampo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). FeralpiSalò (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 57. Milillo A. 4. Rossoni S. 16. Shiba C. 18. Minesso M. 17. Barba G. 5. Bordo L. (C) 13. Cariolato F. 23. Bernardi E. 72. Mattioli A. 11. Benedetti G.	22. Liverani L. (C) 16. Luciani A. 4. Sorensen F. 3. Rizzo A. 63. Verzeletti M. 15. De Francesco A. 75. Brambilla A. 6. Di Marco T. 21. Cavuoti N. 11. Giudici L. 29. Santini C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Verzeletti M. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
63', Cavuoti N. ↓, Maistrello T. ↑,
64', Brambilla A. ↓, Liberati A. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Mattioli A. ⚽,
67', Minesso M. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
67', Rossoni S. ↓, Toniolo F. ↑,
77', Di Marco T. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
77', Giudici L. ↓, Zennaro M. ↑,
83', Bordo L. ↓, Fofana L. ↑,
87', Mattioli A. ↓, De Zen R. ↑,
88', Benedetti G. ↓, Brevi T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

FeralpiSalò is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)

Recent matches ArzignanoChiampo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

FeralpiSalò in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in ArzignanoChiampo: Boccia S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in FeralpiSalò: Balestrero D. (Inactive) Di Molfetta D. (Yellow Cards) Pilati A. (Inactive) Vesentini F. (Injury)

There are questionable in ArzignanoChiampo: Antoniazzi M. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches ArzignanoChiampo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams ArzignanoChiampo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Union ArzignanoChiampo - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.07%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.25	Atalanta U23 - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:3 ✺
11.04.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLLW
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.25	FeralpiSalò - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Alcione - FeralpiSalò	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	FeralpiSalò - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Triestina - FeralpiSalò	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	FeralpiSalò - Trento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
15.12.24	FeralpiSalò - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1
11.02.23	FeralpiSalò - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0
16.10.22	Union ArzignanoChiampo - FeralpiSalò	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
27.10.19	Union ArzignanoChiampo - FeralpiSalò	1:2

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