Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 32

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pergolettese		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.98	3.05
	2.5	2.91	3.26
	2.46	2.73	3.19	Watch
	2.38	2.63	3
	2.4	2.72	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.34)	2.79 ↓ (2.98)	3.13 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
37.9%

Draw
32.8%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

30.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordaro L. (G) 5. Milesi L. 14. Lambrughi A. 26. Bane A. 76. Roversi L. 80. Jaouhari Z. 4. Arini M. 20. Tremolada M. 19. Pala A. 9. Petrovic T. 11. Corti N.	22. Manfrin F. (G) 5. Rossoni S. 33. Boffelli A. (C) 57. Milillo A. 13. Cariolato F. 6. Lakti E. 16. Bianchi N. 15. Bernardi E. 23. Moretti M. 10. Minesso M. 32. Nanni N.
Substitutes
27. Aidoo M. 3. Antolini J. 33. Capoferri M. 21. Careccia S. 2. Catena E. M. 22. Doldi F. (G) 6. Dore S. 10. Ferrandino D. 12. Franzini T. 23. Meconi E. 72. Padalino A. 77. Pessolani G. 99. Rossetti M.	1. Bertini T. (G) 26. Boccia S. 17. Castegnaro L. 8. Damiani M. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 9. Mattioli A. 90. Nwachukwu S. J. 18. Perini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Boffelli A. 🟨,
30', Tremolada M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Lakti E. ⚽,
45', Bernardi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Nanni N. 🟨,
53', Bane A. 🟨,
55', Bane A. ↓, Capoferri M. ↑,
58', Rossoni S. 🟨,
64', Moretti M. ↓, Castegnaro L. ↑,
64', Bernardi E. ↓, Boccia S. ↑,
71', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Ferrandino D. ↑,
71', Tremolada M. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
71', Nanni N. ↓, Mattioli A. ↑,
71', Bianchi N. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,
80', Petrovic T. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
80', Roversi L. ↓, Aidoo M. ↑,
84', Lakti E. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 0.

Pergolettese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ArzignanoChiampo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17
11	Pergolettese	9	2	5	2	5:6	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Pergolettese - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.13%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Union ArzignanoChiampo - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Novara - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Pergolettese - Triestina	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Alcione - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Pergolettese - Brescia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TWWLW
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lecco	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.11.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	1:0
23.03.25	Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:2
09.11.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	1:1
07.04.24	Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1
03.12.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	2:0
29.01.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	0:0
24.09.22	Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1

Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide