The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unionistas de Salamanca 40.1%
Draw 31.9%
Real Madrid Castilla 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
30.3%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
31.6%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Unionistas will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unionistas: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Unionistas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Unionistas (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Unionistas (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Unionistas (votes: 4 - 80%). Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (G) 2. Olmedo V. 5. Farru 3. Gorjon A. 20. Encuentra J. 11. Gomez A. 6. Juanje 8. Lopez J. 23. Pinan A. 24. Abde 15. Valles G.
1. Fran (G) 3. Valdepenas V. 15. Martinez J. 5. Serrano M. 2. Jimenez D. 14. Cestero Sancho J. 27. Pitarch T. 30. Mesonero D. 39. Leiva A. 10. Palacios C. 7. Yanez D.
Substitutes
9. Alex Pachon 18. de Bustos H. 10. de la Nava C. 22. Lendinez J. 21. Marco P. 7. Moreno I. 14. Roldan L. 12. Santiago A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)
21. Aguado D. 23. Fati L. 20. Fortuny P. 37. Gines A. 6. Perea C. 4. Rivas M. 13. Sunico G. (G) 9. Zuniga L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Gomez A. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Valles G. ⚽,
34', Mesonero D. 🟨,
36', Valles G. 🟨,
43', Pitarch T. 🟨,
45+4', Juanje 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mesonero D. ↓, Fortuny P. ↑,
46', Serrano M. ↓, Aguado D. ↑,
61', Valles G. ↓, Marco P. ↑,
64', Leiva A. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
65', Aguado D. 🟨,
68', Pinan A. ↓, de Bustos H. ↑,
68', Lopez J. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
68', Abde ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
71', 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Olmedo V. (Pen),
79', Jimenez D. ↓, Perea C. ↑,
80', Encuentra J. 🟨,
80', Fran 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽,
82', Juanje ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
87', Olmedo V. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
Now, both teams are in good form.
Unionistas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Real Madrid Castilla - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Marino U. (G) 
Abde 
Valles G. 
Zuniga L. 
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