Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Stafford Rangers		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.9
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	3.49	3.88	1.9
	3.49	3.88	1.9
	2.75	3.8	2
	3.44	3.52	1.9
	3.3	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.61)	3.7 ↑ (3.42)	1.93 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stafford Rangers
28%

Draw
24.7%

Lancaster City
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.2%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stafford Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stafford Rangers's form might have worsened.

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lancaster City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stafford Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lancaster City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stafford Rangers - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stafford won 3.

Stafford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lancaster is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stafford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lancaster have a series of home games.

Lancaster will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Stafford won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Stafford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
12.12.23	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Warrington Rylands - Stafford Rangers	7:2 ✺
28.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Brackley Town	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
28.11.23	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Lancaster City - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
14.11.23	Lancaster City - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.08.23	Lancaster City - Stafford Rangers	2:0
18.02.23	Stafford Rangers - Lancaster City	2:1
05.11.22	Lancaster City - Stafford Rangers	1:2
19.03.22	Stafford Rangers - Lancaster City	1:2
05.10.21	Lancaster City - Stafford Rangers	0:2
21.12.19	Stafford Rangers - Lancaster City	0:3
17.08.19	Lancaster City - Stafford Rangers	2:1

Upcoming Matches