Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	Whitby Town		Stafford Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.47	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.59	4.83
	1.49	4.77	5.05
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.44	4.35	5.6
	1.47	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.33)	4.4 ↓ (4.75)	5.21 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
61.9%

Draw
20.7%

Stafford Rangers
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.1%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Whitby Town's form might have worsened.

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Whitby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stafford Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Whitby Town - Stafford Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: Whitby Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Whitby won 0.

Recent matches Whitby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stafford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Whitby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Whitby have a series of guest games.

In this match Whitby is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Whitby won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Whitby won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
16.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Whitby Town	2:3 ✺
02.12.23	Basford United - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
28.11.23	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Whitby Town - Workington	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Radcliffe - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTLTW
- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
16.12.23	Stafford Rangers - Lancaster City	2:4 ✺
12.12.23	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Warrington Rylands - Stafford Rangers	7:2 ✺
28.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
08.04.23	Stafford Rangers - Whitby Town	1:0
27.08.22	Whitby Town - Stafford Rangers	0:1
05.02.22	Stafford Rangers - Whitby Town	0:0
23.10.21	Whitby Town - Stafford Rangers	1:3
07.03.20	Stafford Rangers - Whitby Town	2:1
15.02.20	Whitby Town - Stafford Rangers	2:1
13.04.19	Whitby Town - Stafford Rangers	1:2

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