The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica 30.4%
Draw 32.6%
São Paulo 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
29%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.4%
29.9%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.3%
46.5%
37.2%
Universidad Católica - São Paulo Predictions
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). São Paulo will win (votes: 16 - 37.2%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 46.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.6% – 61.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
1st leg.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently São Paulo have a series of home games.
São Paulo will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
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