The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica 60.5%
Draw 23%
Unión La Calera 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65%
22%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.8%
20.2%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bernedo V. (G) 6. Arancibia S. 5. Farias A. 21. Garcia A. 15. Cuevas C. 20. Valencia J. 25. Corral D. 10. Palavecino M. 8. Zuqui F. 22. Gomez M. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. (C) 15. Salomoni J. 27. Gutierrez D. 21. Torrente V. 17. Hiriart M. 5. Moya C. 23. Perez R. 20. Cruz J. 32. Ferreyra B. 19. Campos M.
Substitutes
13. Canales A. 47. Contreras M. 7. Giani J. 2. Gonzalez D. 50. langenbach M. 39. L’Huillier N. 4. Perez I. 18. Rossel J. 12. Valdes F. (G)
2. Andia Leon Y. W. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 30. Fernandez M. 4. Gutierrez C. 6. Lavin V. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 9. Pozzo F. 11. Saez S. 13. Valero P.
Coaches
Garnero D.
Armijo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Moya C. 🟨,
25', Farias A. 🟨,
41', Valencia J. 🟨,
45+1', Cruz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Cruz J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
55', Ferreyra B. ↓, Saez S. ↑,
55', Torrente V. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
62', Gomez M. ↓, Giani J. ↑,
66', Hiriart M. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
77', Corral D. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
77', Farias A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
77', Zuqui F. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
82', Campos M. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
85', Pozzo F. 🟥,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Zampedri F. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Diaz C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Valencia J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Moya C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cuevas C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Oyarzo Munoz B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Giani J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Avellaneda N. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
Uni Católica arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Unión La Calera has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Uni Católica has faced a series of away games on the road.
Uni Católica carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Uni Católica in today's match, at odds of 1.59.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Uni Católica has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:17 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni Católica against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:5 goals (averaging 1.6:0.5 per game).