The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica 63.5%
Draw 21.6%
Universidad de Concepción 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.3%
22.7%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
22.1%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
The chances for Universidad de Concepción have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Universidad Católica - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Melo D. (G) 28. Cerezo B. 19. Ampuero B. 26. Diaz J. 15. Cuevas C. 8. Zuqui F. 20. Valencia J. 14. Martinez J. A. 25. Corral D. 9. Zampedri F. (C) 7. Giani J.
13. Sanhueza J. (G) 5. Retamal D. 17. Gonzalez M. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 7. Urzi A. 16. Ogaz B. 19. Mesias C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 8. Mater F. 29. Sabando D. 10. Fuentealba J.
Substitutes
13. Canales A. 46. Carcamo V. 5. Farias A. 22. Gomez M. 39. L’Huillier N. 17. Medel G. 11. Montes C. 4. Perez I. 12. Valdes F. (G)
11. Diaz A. 3. Gonzalez L. 34. Herrera F. 12. Matamala D. (G) 14. Parra P. 23. Romero P. 6. Ubal B. 22. Uribe A. 27. Zambrano C.
Coaches
Garnero D.
Viveros R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Zampedri F. ⚽, Martinez J. A. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Zampedri F. ⚽, Corral D. (A),
45+4', 2 - 1, Fuentealba J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Corral D. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
46', Sabando D. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
54', Ampuero B. 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Cuevas C. (A),
65', Retamal D. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Cuevas C. ⚽, Giani J. (A),
72', Urzi A. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
73', Zuqui F. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
73', Valencia J. ↓, Medel G. ↑,
75', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
80', 5 - 1, Giani J. ⚽, Zampedri F. (A),
81', Ogaz B. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
85', Giani J. ↓, Carcamo V. ↑,
85', Zampedri F. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
89', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
90+2', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3.
Uni Católica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Uni de Concepción's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Uni de Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Uni de Concepción has had a series of away games.
In this match, Uni Católica is a strong favorite.
We predict that Uni Católica will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
Argentina
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Melo D. (G) 
Diaz J. 
Valencia J. 
Mater F. 
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