Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Universidad Católica		Emelec

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.5
	1.6	3.75	4.75
	1.85	3.25	3.95	Watch
	1.65	3.3	4.7
	1.6	3.76	6.28
	1.57	3.6	5.8	Watch
	1.61	3.92	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	3.63 ↑ (3.49)	5.21 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
56.7%

Draw
25.5%

Emelec
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21.2%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Universidad Católica - Emelec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Emelec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Universidad Católica have a series of guest games.

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 8 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 34-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
04.10.20	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.09.20	Grêmio - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.09.20	Delfín - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.09.20	Everton - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.09.20	América de Cali - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTTT
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.09.20	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
19.09.20	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Olmedo - Emelec	1:1 ✺
06.09.20	Emelec - Independiente del Valle	2:2 ✺
02.09.20	El Nacional - Emelec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.10.19	Universidad Católica - Emelec	1:1
18.05.19	Emelec - Universidad Católica	1:0
03.11.18	Emelec - Universidad Católica	3:1
26.08.18	Universidad Católica - Emelec	1:0
17.06.18	Emelec - Universidad Católica	2:3
19.03.18	Universidad Católica - Emelec	2:0
22.10.17	Emelec - Universidad Católica	2:0

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