The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Emelec 45.4%
Draw 28.4%
LDU Quito 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
28.6%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
28.4%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Emelec - LDU Quito Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 4 - 80%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ortiz P. (C) 14. Caicedo R. 16. Quintero S. 2. Leguizamon A. 51. Valencia S. 21. Cevallos J. 5. Mina A. 6. Griffith V. 15. Fragozo L. 30. Mina A. 7. Klimowicz L.
1. Valle G. (G) 14. Quintero J. (C) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 31. de la Cruz D. I. 26. Caicedo J. 25. Ortiz P. 10. Alvarado A. 8. Pretell J. 32. Gomez A. 16. Deyverson 9. Medina J.
Substitutes
18. Carabali M. 20. Gonzaga J. 3. Guerrico I. 80. Herrera O. 8. Napoli G. 9. Neris J. 10. Pizzini F. 19. Ruiz J. 4. Segura E. 1. Valero M. (G) 24. Viteri A.
21. Castillo E. 22. Dominguez A. (G) 11. Estrada M. 99. Luna Tobar C. 27. Mina R. 18. Olvera W. 33. Quinonez L. 23. Quinonez Y. 7. Redes R. 44. Segovia L. 12. Villa A. (G) 15. Villamil G.
Coaches
Sanchez V.
Tiago Nunes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Quintero S. 🟨,
56', Caicedo R. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Fragozo L. ⚽, Klimowicz L. (A),
62', Pretell J. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
62', Gomez A. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
62', Ortiz P. ↓, Quinonez L. ↑,
66', Caicedo J. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
73', Klimowicz L. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
73', Fragozo L. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
73', Mina A. ↓, Guerrico I. ↑,
73', Alvarado A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
83', Sanchez V. 🟥,
85', Cevallos J. ↓, Segura E. ↑,
90+2', Mina A. ↓, Napoli G. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 2.
Recent form of Emelec has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
LDU Quito is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Emelec could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Ortiz P. (C) 
Leguizamon A. 
Griffith V. 
Allala Menendez G. F. 
Pretell J. 
Deyverson 
Medina J. 
Redes R. 
Villamil G. 
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