Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Universidad Central		Barquisimeto

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.5	3.8	6.1
	1.52	3.78	6.14
	2.51	3.36	2.60	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.5	3.92	6.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.46)	3.73 ↓ (3.9)	5.68 ↓ (6.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
57.7%

Draw
25.6%

Barquisimeto
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.6%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

24%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.

Barquisimeto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Universidad Central - Barquisimeto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Ramos F. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Flores A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
87', 1 - 2, Carrillo D. ⚽,
90', Cumana Y. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Campos S. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Universidad Central is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Universidad Central won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.08.25	Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
30.07.25	Barquisimeto - Universidad Central	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.07.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Universidad Central - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTLL
- Barquisimeto SC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
03.08.25	Atlético El Vigía - Barquisimeto	1:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
30.07.25	Barquisimeto - Universidad Central	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
24.07.25	Barquisimeto - Trujillanos	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Real Fronteras - Barquisimeto	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Barquisimeto - Héroes de Falcón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
30.07.25	Barquisimeto - Universidad Central	0:1
Venezuelan Segunda Division
28.11.20	Universidad Central - Barquisimeto	0:0
15.11.20	Barquisimeto - Universidad Central	0:0

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