Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon (Cajamarca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cajamarca		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4	3.25	1.77
	4.55	3.3	1.82	Watch
	4.62	3.33	1.84
	4.84	3.22	1.83	Watch
	4.6	3.2	1.8
	4.83	3.35	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (4.46)	3.29 ↓ (3.55)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
20.2%

Draw
28.2%

Alianza Lima
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26.3%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Cajamarca - Alianza Lima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Alianza Lima (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alianza Lima will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aspajo S. (G) 44. Gomez C. 14. Rodas A. 6. Miguez P. 13. Lagos R. 18. Orejuela J. G. 11. Arrasco M. 31. Enciso S. 17. Palacios B. 27. Betancourt J. 9. Barcos H. (C)	1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 4. Chavez G. 6. Garces R. (C) 3. Antoni M. 13. Huaman M. 15. Castillo J. 5. Pavez E. 29. Archimbaud J. 99. Girotti F. 8. Castillo E.
Substitutes
32. Alegria P. 20. Meza C. 1. Mosquera C. (G) 8. Moyano A. 29. Ocas F. 25. Paucar E. 7. Pineau S. 26. Timana H. 30. Vega J. C.	18. Burlamaqui A. 11. Cantero A. 31. Carbajal C. 21. Cari P. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 32. Garcia J. 25. Gentile G. 30. Motta G. 27. Quevedo K.
Coaches
Ayala Gavilan C. R.	Guede P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Betancourt J. ⚽, Barcos H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chavez G. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Girotti F. ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
62', Archimbaud J. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
76', Antoni M. ↓, Carbajal C. ↑,
83', Palacios B. ↓, Pineau S. ↑,
83', Enciso S. ↓, Ocas F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).

Alianza Lima is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Liga 1 (Play Offs )

Cajamarca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alianza Lima is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alianza Lima is considered a favorite.

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury) Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	14:10	4	16
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
24.05.26	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Cajamarca - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWWL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
23.05.26	Alianza Lima - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Cienciano - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Alianza Lima - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWW

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